Kuala Lumpur Crude palm oil futures: Stopped out/S.A.
SEPT CPO futures closed higher by RM49 at 2383 on relatively high volume of 6,956 lots.
1. We were stopped out of CPO yesterday at 2364.
2. Yesterday we had called to go long if 2364 is touched.
3. We are going long because the stochastic is on buy signal from near an oversold area.
4. Also, price has move up above the lower Bollinger band.
5. But strictly speaking, we should not go long as this market is prone to U-turn back down.
6. As such a conservative trader (and we) would rather stay aside instead of going long today.
If you are aggressive then you can turn long, but place sell-stop below day before
yesterday’s low, i.e. @ 2314 OL.
7. The next up target is 2560 and the next down target is 2153.
General commentary: We were whipped by the rebounding market yesterday and stopped out at 2364. It was a tricky market alright, hence our suggestion to stay out today.
Next upside targets: 2560/2749 (hit)/3313 (targets revised on June 5)
Downside support: 2153
Ichimoku chart: (Based on kumo (clouds), CPO is long. Kumo support is at 2111. Ichimoku chart will turn short @ 2110 OL (updated on June 11, 2007)
Average True Range for CPO: A.T.R. is 85.36 for CPO. This implies you need to put a stop above/below this A.T.R. or you can get stopped out due to the volatility factor. We advocate a 1.5 x or 2 x the ATR. We are using a 5 days ATR.
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Showing posts with label crude palm oil futures. Show all posts
Showing posts with label crude palm oil futures. Show all posts
Friday, June 29, 2007
Tuesday, June 19, 2007
Kuala Lumpur : Crude Palm Oil Futures
Kuala Lumpur crude palm oil futures: Maintain long/Sell-stop @ 2424 OL/F.B. @ 2501/T.P. @ 2560
SEPT CPO futures closed higher by RM32 at 2457 on relatively high volume of 11,525 lots.
1. We were again correct in calling for a buy and a “gap” to make up for the change of contract
month.
2. We are maintaining long but place sell-stop at 2424 OL to exit longs. If you want a tighter
stop, then use yesterday’s low, i.e. @ 2444 OL to exit longs.
3. If CPO breaches 2500, then “further buy” @ 2501 OH.
4. Next target is still at 2560.
General commentary: We were right about our “F. Tam white inside out up” pattern, which resulted in a higher close, up by RM32. Today CPO may consolidate or may rally to test 2560. We doubt it will stage a sharp pullback. But in case it does, our sell-stops are either at 2444 OL or 2424 OL.
Next upside targets: 2560/2749 (hit)/3313 (targets revised on June 5)
Downside support: 2466(hit)/2393(hit)/2307/2223/2153
Ichimoku chart: (Based on kumo (clouds), CPO is long. Kumo support is at 2111. Ichimoku chart will turn short @ 2110 OL (updated on June 11, 2007)
Average True Range for CPO: A.T.R. is 112.36 for CPO. This implies you need to put a stop above/below this A.T.R. or you can get stopped out due to the volatility factor. We advocate a 1.5 x or 2 x the ATR. We are using a 5 days ATR.
To know more about the daily KL crude palm oil futures, subscribe to our daily stock and futures newsletter at http://www.picapital.com.my/
SEPT CPO futures closed higher by RM32 at 2457 on relatively high volume of 11,525 lots.
1. We were again correct in calling for a buy and a “gap” to make up for the change of contract
month.
2. We are maintaining long but place sell-stop at 2424 OL to exit longs. If you want a tighter
stop, then use yesterday’s low, i.e. @ 2444 OL to exit longs.
3. If CPO breaches 2500, then “further buy” @ 2501 OH.
4. Next target is still at 2560.
General commentary: We were right about our “F. Tam white inside out up” pattern, which resulted in a higher close, up by RM32. Today CPO may consolidate or may rally to test 2560. We doubt it will stage a sharp pullback. But in case it does, our sell-stops are either at 2444 OL or 2424 OL.
Next upside targets: 2560/2749 (hit)/3313 (targets revised on June 5)
Downside support: 2466(hit)/2393(hit)/2307/2223/2153
Ichimoku chart: (Based on kumo (clouds), CPO is long. Kumo support is at 2111. Ichimoku chart will turn short @ 2110 OL (updated on June 11, 2007)
Average True Range for CPO: A.T.R. is 112.36 for CPO. This implies you need to put a stop above/below this A.T.R. or you can get stopped out due to the volatility factor. We advocate a 1.5 x or 2 x the ATR. We are using a 5 days ATR.
To know more about the daily KL crude palm oil futures, subscribe to our daily stock and futures newsletter at http://www.picapital.com.my/
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